Monday, August 13, 2007

The Long Shot

What are the odds that the size of the universe which is governed by a complex relation between several stars, planets and their gravitational and other forces would be of the size that it is now?

What are the odds that the Sun would be of the exact size and temperature in order to sustain life?

What are the odds that Earth would be at the precise distance so as to sustain life? And the odds of Earth lying within the band of distance which can actually keep water, an important component for life, at a liquid form?

Inspite of all the favourable planetary conditions and galatical settings it took 6 billion years for life to evolve. What about betting on the evolutionary cycle to be completed? Single-cell organisms... Multi-cellular... Fish... Amphibians... Reptiles... Dinosaurs... the meteorite blast... Mammals... Apes... Human...

Would you have even dreamt that Pan troglodytes would some day become Homo sapiens? That's Chimpanzees to Humans for the uninitiated.

Humans have now been in existence for thousands of years. But still what are the odds of two people meeting, mating and actually giving birth to a particular individual? The chances of even something as basic as this which happens everyday are more surprising than you can imagine.

For all that we know, God may actually exist! This may after all be a part of a major plan. The six-billion odd Earthlings may actually be just one piece of a huge jigsaw. I mean think about the entire cycle right from the formation of the universe to your own birth. It's not easy to attribute all these things to something like coincidence.

In the words of Agent K from MIB, "1500 years ago, Everybody knew that the Earth was the center of the universe. 500 years ago, Everybody knew that the Earth was flat and 15 minutes ago, you knew that people were alone on this planet. Imagine what you'll "know" tomorrow." So the existence of a divine power is a plausible possibility if we take into consideration the expanse of our knowledge and the set of coincidences that have led to our existence.

I can't seem to make up my mind which of the following has higher probability. Is life just a set of uncontrollable coincedences? (a scary thought) Or whether everything is happening as per a pre-set plan? (Also, a scary thought) Or is there a middle path (Being an optimist... I certainly hope so!)?

One thing I can say for sure... The probability of me dying is 1 but if I wasn't already born I would estimate the chances of my existence somewhere in the vicinity of zero. Long shot? Naah... Plain and simple lucky!

Cheers!

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